Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.197144 0.228171 0.262466 0.303185 0.350218 0.402852 0.466241
2025-09-14 0.143438 0.183674 0.232765 0.297077 0.379151 0.480468 0.615196
2025-09-21 0.115694 0.158916 0.215393 0.294607 0.402945 0.546107 0.750030
2025-09-28 0.098655 0.143496 0.205457 0.297347 0.430319 0.616070 0.895934
2025-10-05 0.089517 0.136826 0.205440 0.312230 0.474510 0.712368 1.088604
2025-10-12 0.081071 0.129540 0.202947 0.322244 0.511638 0.801442 1.280239
2025-10-19 0.073676 0.122594 0.199668 0.329967 0.545263 0.887899 1.476943
2025-10-26 0.066560 0.114988 0.194136 0.332927 0.570899 0.963651 1.664184
2025-11-02 0.059327 0.106158 0.185360 0.329082 0.584192 1.019800 1.824025
2025-11-09 0.052045 0.096264 0.173504 0.318263 0.583743 1.051840 1.944607
2025-11-16 0.048484 0.092541 0.171890 0.325228 0.615290 1.142531 2.179604
2025-11-23 0.044597 0.087711 0.167662 0.326742 0.636687 1.216648 2.391476
2025-11-30 0.041410 0.083918 0.165076 0.331337 0.664972 1.307607 2.648216
2025-12-07 0.037242 0.077704 0.157182 0.324697 0.670648 1.356078 2.827500
2025-12-14 0.034006 0.072970 0.151624 0.321998 0.683715 1.420091 3.045028
2025-12-21 0.031695 0.069877 0.149006 0.324992 0.708718 1.510608 3.327755
2025-12-28 0.030816 0.069738 0.152482 0.341258 0.763617 1.668843 3.773525
2026-01-04 0.029519 0.068516 0.153490 0.352203 0.808036 1.809237 4.195744
2026-01-11 0.028115 0.066883 0.153402 0.360644 0.847706 1.943250 4.618522
2026-01-18 0.026438 0.064417 0.151170 0.363879 0.875716 2.053922 4.999490
2026-01-25 0.024400 0.060853 0.146030 0.359677 0.885711 2.124181 5.292141
2026-02-01 0.022071 0.056309 0.138099 0.347852 0.875995 2.147046 5.471803
2026-02-08 0.021128 0.055114 0.138069 0.355464 0.914947 2.290587 5.968235